Current harvest totals can be estimated at around 500,000 metric tonnes between Alaska and Russia, leaving an estimated 450,000 still to be harvested globally if both regions achieve 100% of their forecasts - which would also result in global salmon harvest exceeding both 5-year and 10-year average, but still lower than 2023’s record harvest of over 1 million metric tonnes. Notably, odd-numbered years historically, have seen both countries exceed their projected harvests.

Alaska’s 2025 commercial salmon harvest has well surpassed 100 million fish estimated at approximately 200,000 metric tonnes. This has been driven by a strong sockeye season, with over 50 million fish landed (95% of forecast), driven by solid returns in Bristol Bay, Cook Inlet, and Kodiak. Pink salmon harvests are ramping up in Prince William Sound and Kodiak, though still 33% below 2023 levels due to a slow start.

Chum salmon harvests peaked in July and have reached 62% of forecast, supported by strong runs in Prince William Sound and the Alaska Peninsula. Coho harvests remain modest at just over 600,000 fish, but are 36% ahead of last year and expected to increase later this month. Chinook harvests, while landing 100% of the forecast, are still down 61% year-over-year and among the lowest on record, reflecting ongoing conservation-driven restrictions.



Russia’s 2025 salmon harvest is now heading towards 300,000 metric tonnes, led by pink salmon with over 200,000 metric tonnes harvested - 60% of the revised forecast. Sockeye harvests are about 40,000 metric tonnes (65% of forecast), in line with historical norms. In contrast, chum salmon remains well behind, with about 20,000 metric tonnes or 23% of forecast landed.

Lastly, early signs suggest the salmon season in British Columbia, Canada could outperform recent years, with strong pink salmon forecasts for the Fraser and Puget Sound, and improved sockeye returns in key systems like the Skeena. Although this could potentially lead to increased commercial harvest opportunities, the 10-year average for Canadian wild salmon production only accounts for just over 1% of global wild salmon supply.

Our recommendation is that if you come across a salmon offer that works for your pricing, secure that product. Even though the outlook is better than preseason forecasts, demand remains just as strong if not stronger than in previous years.



This report is one of many more summer salmon updates still to come. Be sure to subscribe to our 3-Minute Market Insight using the signup form or links below to keep tuned-in for further updates on the 2025 Salmon Season.

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