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EP 750 | AIRED 07/21/2025
July 21, 2025 - Pangasius stands out as a rare steady bet in a market full of price swings and supply challenges - however with U.S. trade tensions heating up again, new tariff risks could soon shake that stability.
Vietnamese pangasius remains a cost-effective and stable whitefish choice for North American buyers, especially as cod prices rise and tilapia supply from China fluctuates. Demand stays strong in value-driven foodservice, quick service restaurants, and frozen meal segments where affordability and mild flavor matter most.
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Industry groups are lobbying to maintain low-tariff access, however buyers should prepare for potential shifts. Note that Pangasius is currently subject to USDA inspection under the FSIS program, and increased scrutiny could impact customs clearance times.
A quick comparison on Pangasius versus Cod and Tilapia show that Cod prices remain elevated due to quota cuts and restricted Russian trade flows, while Tilapia supply has been inconsistent, with lingering logistics challenges out of Asia.
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A quick comparison on Pangasius versus Cod and Tilapia show that Cod prices remain elevated due to quota cuts and restricted Russian trade flows, while Tilapia supply has been inconsistent, with lingering logistics challenges out of Asia.
Our recommendation is that buyers lock in Q3–Q4 pangasius volume now while prices remain stable and lead times are favorable. Buyers should also monitor USTR announcements for potential tariff or trade enforcement signals heading into fall, and consider diversifying suppliers within Vietnam or nearby ASEAN markets to hedge against risk.
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