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3-Minute Market Insight

EP 734 | AIRED 03/31/2025

Global Tuna: Market Rebounds Fueled by Frozen Loins & Premium Fillets, Skipjack Supply Tightens in Atlantic

March 31st, 2024 - Global tuna trade posted a notable recovery in 2024, with total import volumes rising by 20 percent (to 3 million tonnes) and values approaching 12 billion USD. This rebound was driven by growing demand for raw frozen tuna, cooked frozen loins, and ready-to-eat tuna products, as well as stronger consumer interest in higher-value frozen fillets and loins.

SINBAD
In Western and Central Pacific, Skipjack catches remained subdued, keeping prices around $1600 per tonne; yellowfin was steadier in that region. In the Indian Ocean, moderate catches held skipjack prices down, while yellowfin stayed firm. The Atlantic had a high proportion of small skipjack, resulting in shortfalls for canners and pushing prices higher. Overall, buyers should expect moderate catches, stable but elevated skipjack prices, and particularly tight raw-material availability in the Atlantic.

For import and exports, whole frozen tuna imports climbed by 30 percent worldwide, led by Thailand at 41 percent of total imports. Fresh tuna purchases dropped on cost and supply concerns, but frozen fillets and loins saw strong demand in Japan, the EU, and the United States. Global canned and processed tuna imports increased by 9 percent, with Thailand’s exports rising 31 percent; Ecuador, China, Spain, and the Philippines also posted notable gains. For buyers, Thailand, Ecuador, and China offer competitive pricing and consistent supply, especially for semi-processed tuna.

Global Tuna Update

Regionally, United States canned tuna rose slightly and frozen fillet imports increased by 17 percent, with fresh tuna demand still driven by restaurants. In Europe, strong catering-sector demand lifted fresh/frozen imports, and semi-processed (cooked loins) grew by 7 percent. Japan’s fresh/frozen whole imports declined, but deep-frozen fillets jumped by 36 percent; China’s premium tuna market kept growing despite Japanese seafood restrictions. In the Near East & North Africa, canned tuna demand stayed steady, with Thailand supplying over 130,000 tonnes. Buyers can expect stable US prices unless restaurant demand shifts, strong EU competition for cooked loins, high-grade fillet opportunities in Japan, and Thailand’s continued dominance in NENA.

European prices for whole skipjack, yellowfin, and cooked loins remain stable while Skipjack prices in the Western and Central Pacific have risen from earlier 2024 levels. Thailand’s strong inventories suggest short-term price stability, though Easter demand in Europe may elevate spring order volumes. Japan’s sashimi market is quieter post-New Year but is expected to rebound during April–May 2025. For buyers, no immediate price spikes are likely, but watch for a seasonal uptick in premium sashimi demand.

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Overall, Tuna supplies remain relatively stable thanks to robust 2024 carryover stocks, and consumer demand for both raw and processed products is strong. Nonetheless, prospective US trade tariffs could quickly alter pricing and sourcing strategies. Our recommendation is to secure inventories early, and to closely monitor market and policy changes.

Global Tuna Update

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